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Basketball philosophy

33pt breakdown: Why I believe Jimmer Fredette is more talented than Tyreke Evans

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Jimmer Fredette Jumper

Jimmer Fredette Jumper (Photo credit: TheDailySportsHerald)

The Sacramento Kings are the Amanda Bynes of the NBA. They’re a mess. They need new ownership, a new GM and an almost entirely new roster. Who will they keep? Demarcus Cousins, despite not entirely getting it, is a true blue chip piece. Marcus Thornton is a great young SG. Thomas Robinson, James Johnson and Isaiah Thomas can contribute to a winning team.

Tyreke Evans and Jimmer Fredette are two players who’s place on the team is in flux. Tyreke has long had the reputation as a superstar talent, due to his 20 pt, 5 reb, 5 ast rookie season he hasn’t been to follow up on. Jimmer was being written off as a bust before this season before getting hot in limited minutes. There likely isn’t enough minutes for both of them in the backcourt long term.

I believe despite their reputations, it is Jimmer and not Tyreke who is the more talented player. Here are my 33pt grades for them:

Physical tools talent:

Tyreke Evans – 11: Tyreke’s talent in this category ranks as historic to me. Not only is he explosive and built like a tank, but he’s an outstanding ball-handling talent. This is what made him a devastating force driving to the basket his rookie season. Tyreke is the closest thing to a SG version of Lebron in the league physically. His grade is a 10 or 11 in the category.

Jimmer Fredette – 2: Jimmer is an extremely perimeter orientated PG/SG. His game is predicated on jumpshots and he is an average ball-handler. Decent strength to finish at the basket helps him avoid a grade of 1 in the category.

Skill talent:

Tyreke Evans – 1: Tyreke is completely hapless in this category. For a 2 guard he has a brutal jumpshot, weak passing skills and weak touch. He does not appear to be a natural in regards to skill at all.

Jimmer Fredette – 9: Jimmer had an extremely skilled college career, shooting over 39% from 3 and 88% from the FT line over a huge volume during 4 years at BYU. During his rookie season it took some immediate time to adapt to the NBA 3pt line, but so far this year has shown signs of the wet shooting talent he was drafted as. He can create shots off the dribble as well as spotting up and is an respectable passer. Jimmer is a very skilled guard and deserves a high grade of 9 or 10 for a 2 guard.

Feel for the Game talent:

Tyreke Evans – 2: I’m not seeing any reason to give Tyreke a higher grade than this for feel for the game. His court vision is simply terrible, being unable to recognize where his teammates are spatially even enough to make a pass on a fast-break. He has little feel for the court and is often out of control.

Jimmer Fredette – 8: Jimmer was a very crafty player mentally at BYU. He recognized space and angles which allowed him to creatively get off shots or drive to the rim within space. He made scoring look relatively easy and natural.

Total grades:

Tyreke Evans – 14 (average player talent grade)

Jimmer Fredette – 19 (borderline all-star talent grade)

Jimmer and Tyreke is an interesting combination to compare because they have inverse strengths/weaknesses in physical talent and skill. Jimmer is a great skill talent for his position but lacks physical talent. Tyreke has massive physical talent for his position but lacks skill talent. If one considers physical and skill talent as having equal worth as I do, their combined physical/skill talent would thus be similar due to each hitting a home run in one of the categories and striking out in the other.

Thus the tiebreaker is feel for the game. And in that it doesn’t appear to be a comparison. Jimmer is a more intelligent player with better court vision and Tyreke has no vision or feel for the court at all. Jimmer thus comes out with an easily higher grade.

Tyreke Evans is the definition of a “one tool” player using this grading system. As amazing as his physical talent score is because of his ability to attacking the basket is, he does not have skill or mental talents. Jimmer has the chance to be a “two tool” talent by standing out in both skill and feel for the game.

The Kings or their fans shouldn’t give up on Jimmer Fredette. Players who can shoot and who are smart stick in the league even if they aren’t athletic enough. Fredette is much more JJ Redick or Stephen Curry than Adam Morrison. Redick was written off early in his career as a bust, but he turned it around and is in the middle of an impact career. Redick had the skill and feel for the game to make it. The misconception about Adam Morrison is that he fell out of the league because of his athleticism, but what really killed the ‘Stache is that he couldn’t shoot consistently. Judging from his college and NBA 3P%/FT% numbers, Jimmer is much more like Redick or Curry than Morrison as a shooter and skill player.

Tyreke Evans has allure due to the sexiness of amazing physical talent and the adage of “you can’t teach physical tools, but you can teach skill”. But if one accepts a player like Jimmer’s skill and vision advantage over Tyreke is mostly innate, it becomes easier to accept that Fredette may actually be the more talented player.

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Written by jr.

November 18, 2012 at 5:19 pm

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