A Substitute for War

Basketball philosophy

2013 NBA lottery mock (02/28/13)

with 2 comments

Here’s my best guess at how the draft shakes out by June. That includes guessing who picks in the top 3

1. Orlando Magic – PG Marcus Smart

Rob Hennigan has been stockpiling feel for the game heavy players. Is he hunting market inefficiency wabbits? Smart fits that profile and they need a franchise PG. As crazy as it seems, Otto Porter is a dark horse here as his feel is as impressive as anyone’s.

2. Phoenix Suns – SG Ben McLemore

The Suns are desperate for a blue chip SG or SF. McLemore can be a franchise scorer and Goran Dragic’s drive and kick game compliments him.

3. Charlotte Bobcats – PF Nerlens Noel

The Bobcats are far enough away to wait for Noel’s recovery and development. The Rich Cho picks Kemba Walker, Bismack Biyombo and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist favor athleticism and defense, which Noel and Victor Oladipo fit the most.

4. Washington Wizards – SF Otto Porter

Unlikely to draft a guard with John Wall and Bradley Beal holding those spots, Porter fits at SF and matches their new professionalism focus.

5. Sacramento Kings – SG Victor Oladipo

The Kings need a team leader to turn around their team culturally. Oladipo gives them a blue chip SG and likely signals the end of Tyreke Evans and Marcus Thornton at the 2.

6. New Orleans Pelicans – C Cody Zeller

The Hornets could use a big with more upside than Robin Lopez to pair with Anthony Davis. Cody’s post skill and IQ creates an impressive combination.

7. Cleveland Cavaliers – C Willie Cauley-Stein

The Cavs use advanced metrics to draft which favors players with reb, blk, stl, ast, efficiency. Noel, Oladipo, Porter fits that model the most, but Cauley-Stein also rates well and fills a need for a long term C and badly needed size.

8. Minnesota Timberwolves – SG CJ McCollum

The Timberwolves had horrid shooting this year and are desperate to make the playoffs next year. CJ is a great fit shooting beside Rubio and is an immediate contributor.

9. Detroit Pistons – SG Archie Goodwin

The Pistons will almost surely draft a wing. Goodwin’s amazing physical tools should gain him fans as a high upside player.

10. Oklahoma City Thunder (via Toronto) – C Alex Len

The Thunder’s need is a blue chip center. Len falling this far is a perfect fit, giving them offense and shotblocking in the future from the position.

11. Philadelphia 76ers – PF Anthony Bennett

Another surprising fall, the 76ers go best player available hoping to get a star PF in Bennett beside Jrue.

12. Dallas Mavericks – C Steven Adams

The Mavericks seem like they’re thinking long term and for the post Dirk era. Adams has amazing physical tools for a C, if raw.

13. Charlotte Bobcats (via Portland) – SG Allen Crabbe

After grabbing defense with Noel, the Cats grab some shooting and offense at SG beside MKG and Walker.

14. Phoenix Suns – SF Shabazz Muhammad

The Suns are likely happy for a big name SF to fall this far, completing their wings upgrade.

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Written by jr.

February 28, 2013 at 9:32 pm

Posted in Basketball, NBA Draft

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2 Responses

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  1. Len to the Thunder would be so unfair!

    He’d be the THE guy that would fit them the best and they could possibly get him at 10. Wow.

    Also, how would you compare Oladipo to Tyreke Evans? They both seem like similar players to me (Oladipo has sloppy handles from what I’ve seen) but I don’t follow CBB very closely so I could be off.

    Mike

    March 1, 2013 at 2:37 pm

    • I like Oladipo more than Tyreke. Likely the better shooter and much better instincts/feel, plus a way better attitude.

      julienrodger

      March 3, 2013 at 1:22 pm


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